1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a large low
pressure area located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands has increased and become a little better organized
since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form later this week while the low moves westward to
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Windward
Islands, the southeastern and south-central Caribbean Sea, as well
as the northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
Forecaster Stewart
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