pressure located about 600 miles east-southeast of the Windward
Islands continue to show signs of organization, and a tropical
cyclone could be forming. If this trend continues, then a tropical
depression or a tropical storm would likely form later today while
the system moves west-northwestward to westward at about 20 mph.
Interests in the eastern and central Caribbean Sea, including the
northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress of this
system, and watches or warnings could be required at any time.
Regardless of development, heavy rains and strong gusty winds,
possibly to tropical storm force, are expected to spread over the
Windward Islands and portions of the southern Lesser Antilles
beginning tonight and continuing into Wednesday.
An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
disturbance this afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
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